Possibly a Watershed in Responsible Medical Reporting?
There was outrage throughout the UK blogosphere. Many people wrote to The Observer to correct these stories, not least Dr Fiona Scott whose views had been misrepresented and one apiece from Prof. Baron-Cohen and Prof. Bustin. Baron-Cohen:
[Your] article linked MMR and autism.Bustin (see Fitzpatrick for a summary of Bustin's devastating testimony):
The research does not...
The best estimate of the prevalence of autism is the 1 per cent figure published in the Lancet in 2006.
My view is that any apparent rise is likely to be driven by better recognition, greater awareness, growth in services, a widening of the definition of autism and a shift towards viewing it as a spectrum rather than a categorical condition.
Remarkably, there is no reference in your story to the fact that on 11 June the first of 4,800 cases in autism proceedings came to trial at the United States Court of Federal Claims in Washington. These are designed to establish whether or not autism can be caused by MMR. For the first time, a succession of highly respected researchers in epidemiology, genetics, virology, molecular biology and other medical and scientific disciplines - the 'medical and scientific establishment' of the Observer article - provided detailed evidence of why, in their opinion, there is no medical or scientific basis for any claim linking the MMR vaccine with autism.You might have thought that the interventions from these two luminaries might have made it into the subsequent Readers' Editor response to the letters and the result of his investigations into the story. The short piece was riddled with self-exoneration. The Head of News says:
'I believe it was legitimate to include the thoughts of two of the authors of the study. We didn't conflate the two issues; the issues are already conflated.Sins of omission and commission abounded. They seemed unrepentant about publishing the inflammatory 1 in 58 figure but grudgingly acknowledged that perhaps they might have included the other figures that were less disturbing and more inline with current estimates (amongst many much-needed corrections, they didn't touch the issue of it being a tool that may generate a 50% rate of false positives which may be acceptable if it has good specificity). It doesn't seem to disturb them that their conclusions are at considerable variance with the contents of of a report about that screening tool (pdf) from Baron-Cohen's research centre (HT to correspondent who sent me this link). The concluding sentiment and sentence are breathtaking for their complete lack of any awareness of the issues that fuelled the strong response of so many readers plus the introduction of a novel definition of accurate.
'We worked hard to give a non-incendiary, balanced view. I believe we had to give the readers all the information we had. After all, they would ask, "Could MMR be a factor?"
And the central point, in my view, is that the leaked story of the apparent rise in the prevalence of autism was a perfectly legitimate and accurate story in its own right, which did not need the introduction of the MMR theory.Oh misery me! Omnes plecum plangite! However, if the Guardian/Observer offered a completely inadequate apologia pro ephermeris sua (HT Kristina Chew) then The Independent among many other papers wasvox stulti as was Channel 4 News for repeating those figures uncritically.
Jon of Holford Watch has been indefatigable in chasing corrections and amendments to these stories. He phoned both The Guardian and The Observer on many, many occasions to explain what was wrong with those stories. Jon was instrumental in having some online corrections published in The Guardian which carried some uncritical follow-ups that reproduced 'facts' from The Observer. Even after Dr Ben Goldacre published his remarkably restrained coverage of what was so appalling about media coverage of MMR-related issues, the editor of the The Observer refused to retract the story (judging by the the sins of omission rather than actual action).
The belief in a link between MMR-vaccines-mercury-autism has cultish overtones. Most religions have an act of contrition. Several months ago, I argued that the UK media collectively needed to make an act of contrition and perform an act of reparation. My preference was that these should take the form of some informed coverage and some active retraction of those abused figures. However, it rather seems as if obduracy in this matter may lead to a sacrificial act: Madame Arcarti floats the possibility that a senior person from The Observer is going, although the precise identity is unclear.*
This is the result of news ed Kamal Ahmed getting to keep his job - the result of an investigation into the embarrassment over the MMR splash that wasn't a story of two months ago (Catch up here, on the very good bad science website). The Scott Trust got involved, editor Roger Alton had to go to before them and receive six of the best like a naughty schoolboy. [Edited to embed URL.]Jon has been diligent in pursuing a correction to 'MMR-idiocy' and has published a vigorous response to this news:
Hopefully the rumour is accurate, and Alton will face the consequences of his actions. I think it is entirely appropriate that – if a newspaper Editor publishes something both stupid and damaging on their front page, then refuses to retract the story – their career should suffer as a consequence of this.Whatever the rights and wrongs of this rumour, it is not enough. I would far rather that The Observer stopped the Quackometer's MMR Apology Counter and retracted those stories and errors. I would rather that they did some soul-searching and resolve to be more responsible in reporting medical stories full-stop, but particularly those with significant public interest, and those where emotion seems to trump science. If somebody has to leave, that is a dramatic action: will it put editors on notice that medical reporting has to be handled responsibly and, above all, be accurate? It will be fascinating to see how this story plays out over the next few weeks.
Update* The Independent and an anon commenter on the Madame Acarti story indicate that they sacrificial lamb's identity may be illusory as may any hope for an improvement in journalistic standards for responsible reporting in science/health.
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Anthony Cox: How virulent were The Observer’s MMR articles?
Dr Michael Fitzpatrick on Stephen Bustin's devastating testimony and why there is nothing in the MMR-autism theory
Brian Deer for a very readable summary of The MMR-autism scare and Wakefield's role in it.
Brian Deer on Prof. John Walker-Smith and his involvement in experimentation on children with autism symptoms and his statement relating to the revelations about the Lancet paper.
Brian Deer on Prof Simon Murch and his involvement with the studies and his defence of the Wakefield research. Brian Deer has performed a thorough analysis of the differences between that statement and the claims made in the Lancet paper
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Brian Deer has made available an easy-to-read format of the cross-examination of Dr. Arthur Krigsman in the Cedillo case of the Autism Omnibus.
Anthony Cox of Black Triangle: Virological evidence does not support a link between MMR vaccine and autism
Andrew Wakefield, Chronology and "Bad Science"
Patrick Holford and Dr Andrew Wakefield's Discredited Findings: Part 1 and Part 2
Wakefield's Latest Tent Mission on the Doctrine of Autism
Kevin Leitch on Andrew Wakefield and the death of the MMR debacle
Patrick Holford, MMR and What Passes for Hard Evidence
Mike Stanton on Patrick Holford and his unusual views on vaccination, MMR and autism
Ben Goldacre of Bad Science: Try Me, Sh*thead - the strange case of Carol Stott, Wakefield and the Observer
Dr Crippen of NHS Blog Doctor: Andrew Wakefield, MMR, Autism and the GMC
Tony Hatfield of Retired Ramblings: What the Observer's MMR Piece Didn't Tell You!
Tim Worstall: Crap Reporting in the Observer
Anthony Cox: New Autism Fears, A Man in Denial and MMR Memes in Newspapers
Mike Stanton: Cry Shame on Wakefield and MMR
Kristina Chew of Autism Vox: 1 in 58
Ms Clark of Autism Diva: Embattled Andy Wakefield Speaks and Wakefield and Walker-Smith: Dishonest and Irresponsible
Russell Brown of Public Address: Bad journalism, old stories
Wakefield and Why the Edith Piaf Routines is Baseless: Part 1
Patrick Holford and Andrew Wakefield
Thanks to Wellcome for use of this open access image.